All Ages Welcome! |  |
|
warning: implode(): Bad arguments. in /export/sites/seniors4dean.com/docs/includes/theme.inc on line 37. Submitted by Howard2 on Monday, January 19, 2004 - 01:03 | |
|
| Seniors
for America was founded to elevate issues of special concern to Seniors
and Elders in the national political agenda. Through a network of
Internet-savvy Senior outreach coordinators of all ages, SFA strives
to provide bridges at the community level to non-digital Seniors and
Elders who wish to remain active in the political process. |
|
|
Join
the Seniors for America Activities Center |
| |
| |
| |
|
| The
New York Times Political News Headlines |
|
|
|
| ANALYSIS |
DEMOCRATIC
TARGETS |
ON
THE EVE OF THE DEBATES |
Report
Based on Democracy Corps Post-Labor Day Polls |
Source:
www.democracycorps.com
Seniorsforamerica guide
New |
 |
| Link Building Link Building [...] Shelby not only interviewed ProspectMX’ Dave Conklin for WebmasterRadio, but she also pointed to the awesome Link Building 101 sheet (pdf) that was [...] |
| | | |
| |
Democratic
Targets
The
Unrealized Change Voters
-
White non-college educated women (25 percent). This is the biggest
potential gold mine for John Kerry. Right now, Kerry trails
with them by 10, but many of these voters want change: 48 percent
want a significantly different direction, but only 41 percent
are currently for Kerry. These are not "security moms,"
as they lean against the Iraq war, but above all, they are concerned
with the decline of middle-class incomes; they strongly reject
the idea that the economy is doing well.
-
White rural voters (17 percent). The biggest key to the Bush
election is holding on to white rural voters, obviously a large
portion of the vote in Wisconsin, Iowa, and other states. His
emphasis on security and values and his attacks on Kerry's character
have kept them largely in line, but these voters are still unsettled.
They are not as Republican as their current vote and many would
like to move in a different direction. They are particularly
upset about lagging incomes and health care.
-
White young voters under 30 years (8 percent). These have been
very volatile voters, in this case, shifting toward Bush in
the last month. But they are unrealized change voters: 46 percent
different direction, though only 39 percent for Kerry. Their
feelings about Kerry grew more negative in the last couple of
months, but the main opportunity is on the economy, as they
reject Bush's case for progress.
-
White senior women (10 percent). Kerry is actually doing well
with these senior women, running 10 points ahead of Bush. But
there is opportunity for considerable gains here. The margin
on change is double the margin in the vote and these voters
reject everything about Bush's priorities. By 67 to 28 percent,
they say the middle class is squeezed; by 61 to 33 percent,
they say the Iraq war has made us less secure. Kerry can make
significant gains here.
-
White single women (14 percent). Women on their own - single,
divorced and widowed - still hold great potential for Democrats.
Kerry is already winning them by 11 points (51 to 40 percent),
but they are desperate for a election about the issues facing
these economically vulnerable women: an astonishing 58 percent
want to move in a significantly different direction. They are
strongly against the Iraq war and want to see action on health
care.
-
Well-educated white women (16 percent). The biggest drop off
in support after the Democratic conventions has come with white
college educated women - from a 13-point lead down to a single
point deficit. The drop was even more true for women with a
post-graduate degree. The latter are still giving Kerry a big
lead (26 points), but Kerry's vote dropped from 66 to 58 percent.
But these college educated voters are strong change voters (by
8 points) and align with the Democrats (by 6). Kerry can make
important gains here. These voters strongly oppose the Iraq
war, think the middle class is squeezed, and care about health
care and education.
-
White union households (17 percent). In September, Kerry was
carrying these voters by 9 points (50 to 41 percent), but that
trails their party alignment by 6 points and their desire for
change by even more: 59 percent want to go in a significantly
different direction. These voters are deeply upset about the
economy, and also Iraq, but they are less certain of Kerry's
strength.
-
African Americans (10 percent). Kerry is getting 82 percent
of the vote and their interest in the election is very high.
They will no doubt respond strongly to the engaged campaign
that takes up domestic, as well as international issues.
The Surprising
Consequences of Culture War
-
White college-educated men (18 percent of the electorate). The
more secular, well-educated male voters had been held firmly
in place by Bush's tax policies, but they are uncertain about
the cultural attacks, the war, and even the economic direction.
Thus, Bush is winning these white college men by 9 points, but
this is half the margin Bush had earlier in the year. Indeed,
Kerry has gained significantly here since the summer. The younger
college educated men in particular (under 50 years) are particularly
unsettled (53 percent are voting for Bush, but only 48 percent
want to continue in Bush's direction).* These voters will stay
with Bush, but not by the margins Republicans would have anticipated.
Kerry has moved ahead by 6 points with postgraduate men.
-
White mainline Protestants (14 percent). While these voters
have trended Republican in recent years, the course of the election
has moved them toward the Democrats this year, perhaps as a
reaction to Bush's evangelical emphasis. Kerry trailed here
by 6 points in the five months before the August convention,
but he is now ahead by 5 points (49 to 44 percent). These voters
are very opposed to the war and upset by the inequalities of
the current economy. There are opportunities for a Kerry margin
here that should get the attention of election planners.
|
|
|
|
|
| A
Grassroots website created and paid for by HL Vicini, San Francisco,
and not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee. All
trademarks and copyrights on this page are owned by their respective
owners. Comments are owned by the poster. Powered by Drupal 4.2.0. |
|
|
| [ login or register to post comments | read more ] | |
|
DVDs Shipped Priority Mail |
| |
| DVD-Hijacking
Catastrophe |
| 9/11,
Fear & the Selling of American Empire examines how a radical
fringe of the Republican Party used the trauma of the 9/11 terror attacks
to advance a pre-existing agenda to radically transform American foreign
policy while rolling back civil liberties and social programs at home. |
| By
The Media Education Foundation |
| Narrated
by Julian Bond |
| $20
+ shipping. |
| (CA
residents: 8.5% Sales Tax) |
| |
|
 |
|
 |
| DVD-How
Democrats and Progressives Can Win |
| This
DVD is designed to help you more effectively understand and communicate
Democratic and progressive political ideals. It will also help you recognize
how the use of language is shaping political opinion in our Country. |
| George
Lakoff is the author of 'Moral Politics: How Liberals and Conservatives
Think' and is a Senior Fellow at The Rockridge Institute
in Berkeley, California. |
| $15
+ shipping. |
| (CA
residents: 8.5% Sales Tax) |
|
|
|
|
| |
PRIVACY NOTICE: | | SeniorsforAmerica.com asks for certain personal contact information for the purpose of organizing.
Your information will only be used by the admins of this site, local area coordinators, and event planners.
Your personal information will not be used for any other purpose, or added to any other list without your written consent.
For more information or to report suspected abuse of this policy, please contact Howard Vicini or Joe Angelelli for an immediate response.
| |
|
